These 12 stocks are at the most risk of a coronavirus-led plunge, Goldman Sachs warns

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Soldiers wear protective suits during the arrival of Brazilians repatriated from Wuhan, China, the epicenter of the coronavirus, at the Annapolis Air Force Base, in Anapolis city, Goias state, Brazil, Sunday, Feb. 9, 2020. Dozens of Brazilians landed early Sunday morning at the airbase in the Brazilian state of Goias, where they will spend the next 18 days in quarantine. (AP Photo/Beto Barata)Soldiers wear protective suits during the arrival of Brazilians repatriated from Wuhan, China, the epicenter of the coronavirus, at the Annapolis Air Force Base, in Anapolis city, Goias state, Brazil, Sunday, Feb. 9, 2020. Dozens of Brazilians landed early Sunday morning at the airbase in the Brazilian state of Goias, where they will spend the next 18 days in quarantine. (AP Photo/Beto Barata)

Soldiers wear protective suits during the arrival of Brazilians repatriated from Wuhan, China, the epicenter of the coronavirus, at the Annapolis Air Force Base, in Anapolis city, Goias state, Brazil, Sunday, Feb. 9, 2020. Dozens of Brazilians landed early Sunday morning at the airbase in the Brazilian state of Goias, where they will spend the next 18 days in quarantine. (AP Photo/Beto Barata)

Associated Press


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  • The spreading Wuhan coronavirus rocked global stocks, but US equities returned to record highs fairly quickly.
  • However, David Kostin of Goldman Sachs says companies with high sales exposure to China are still struggling, and won’t recover as fast or as smoothly.
  • More than 1,000 people have died during the outbreak so far, and almost all of those fatalities occurred in China.
  • Visit Business Insider’s homepage for more stories.

It didn’t take long for US stock indexes to shake off the losses that stemmed from the coronavirus outbreak. But its economic effects could last much longer.

David Kostin, chief US equity strategist at Goldman Sachs, says there are signs investors are running away from companies that do a lot of business in China.

“Barring a significant change in circumstances, the impact of coronavirus on US equities will likely be focused on select firms with the most exposure to China,” he wrote in a note to clients.

As of Tuesday, the virus has infected more than 43,000 people and killed more than 1,000, with large majorities of both numbers in China. Even if the spreading outbreak is contained soon and China’s economy begins to recover, Kostin says, those few stocks won’t make up all of the sales they’ve lost, and investors are going to discount that in their prices.

“The coronavirus’s main impact on the US equity market will come through valuation changes rather than earnings,” he wrote.

That’s already happening, as Kostin illustrates in the chart below, which shows how poorly companies with high sales exposure to China — and in some cases, Hong Kong and Taiwan — are performing compared to companies with big proportions of international sales.

Screen Shot 2020 02 11 at 1.52.46 PM

Shares of companies that rely heavily on revenue from China have slumped as coronavirus fears have spread

Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research


The most vulnerable stocks, in his view, are companies that make the biggest portion of their sales in China. The combination of store and factory closures, business and travel restrictions, and supply chain interruptions could have major effects on those sales and knock their prices down.

These are the stocks Kostin says are most vulnerable. They’re ranked from lowest to highest based on the percentage of their 2018 revenues that came from Greater China, because that percentage shows the size of the risk they’re facing.

12. IPG Photonics

IPG Photonics




Markets Insider



Ticker: IPGP

Sector: Information technology

Market Cap: $7 billion

Greater China sales exposure: 43%

Source: Goldman Sachs

11. Texas Instruments

Texas Instruments




Markets Insider



Ticker: TXN

Sector: Information technology

Market Cap: $119.6 billion

Greater China sales exposure: 44%

Source: Goldman Sachs

10. Applied Materials

Applied Materials




Markets Insider



Ticker: AMAT

Sector: Information technology

Market Cap: $57 billion

Greater China sales exposure: 45%

Source: Goldman Sachs

8. Nvidia

Nvidia




Markets Insider



Ticker: NVDA

Sector: Information technology

Market Cap: $167.2 billion

Greater China sales exposure: 53%

Source: Goldman Sachs

7. Las Vegas Sands

Las Vegas Sands




Markets Insider



Ticker: LVS

Sector: Consumer discretionary

Market Cap: $50.6 billion

Greater China sales exposure: 62%

Source: Goldman Sachs

6. Micron Technology

Micron Technology




Markets Insider



Ticker: MU

Sector: Information technology

Market Cap: $63.1 billion

Greater China sales exposure: 66%

Source: Goldman Sachs

5. Qualcomm

Qualcomm




Markets Insider



Ticker: QCOM

Sector: Information technology

Market Cap: $98.8 billion

Greater China sales exposure: 67%

Source: Goldman Sachs

4. Monolithic Power Systems

Monolithic Power




Markets Insider



Ticker: MPWR

Sector: Information technology

Market Cap: $7.8 billion

Greater China sales exposure: 70%

Source: Goldman Sachs

3. Qorvo

Qorvo




Markets Insider



Ticker: QRVO

Sector: Information technology

Market Cap: $12.1 billion

Greater China sales exposure: 74%

Source: Goldman Sachs

2. Wynn Resorts

Wynn Resorts




Markets Insider



Ticker: WYNN

Sector: Consumer discretionary

Market Cap: $13.3 billion

Greater China sales exposure: 75%

Source: Goldman Sachs

1. Yum China Holdings

Yum China




Markets Insider



Ticker: YUMC

Sector: Consumer discretionary

Market Cap: $16 billion

Greater China sales exposure: 100%

Source: Goldman Sachs

Get the latest Goldman Sachs stock price here.

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By |2020-02-12T13:39:58+00:00February 12th, 2020|Business|0 Comments

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