David A. Grogan | CNBC
Veteran Wall Street trader Art Cashin told CNBC that the Federal Reserve’s big announcement Thursday is propelling stocks higher, but he warned that a full recovery from the coronavirus-driven sell-off will take some time.
“For now, the Fed coming in open-ended has given the market a breath of fresh air,” Cashin said on “Squawk Alley.” “We traders coming in this morning had … thought the market might begin flattening out here.”
“But we got a second breath from the Fed,” he added.
Before the stock market opened, the Fed unveiled details of its much-anticipated Main Street lending program and other initiatives, a total of $2.3 trillion in loans to help businesses and municipalities.
Blue chips appear poised to post their best weekly gains since 1938.
Cashin said he does not expect a so-called V-shaped — quick down, quick up — recovery on Wall Street.
A U-shaped or “probably even an L-shaped” recovery is more likely, Cashin contended, “because even if you open all the bars or restaurants or movie theaters, are people going to flock there if the disease is still around? So I think there will be some hesitancy.”
On the other hand, Cashin said a concrete announcement that a drug to treat COVID-19 would soon be available would contribute to a market rally “that would open your eyes greatly.”
His last appearance on CNBC was on the morning on Feb. 13. He was in a car accident that evening. He fractured his hip, and he has been undergoing rehab.
At the time, Cashin advised investors to watch declines in freight shipments as a sign of possible economic contraction. He had correctly said that further spread of the virus could eventually become “a problem” for the markets and economy.
Cashin, whose Wall Street career began nearly 60 years ago, said he looks forward to the reopening of the New York Stock Exchange floor. The NYSE went to all-electronic trading on March 23 due to the coronavirus.
“The cause for shutting it down was health-wise so you can’t argue with that,” he said. “But I certainly would like to see it reopen. I think we’re missing certain aspects of the market.”
Traders are able to get a better feel for the market by being on the NYSE floor, Cashin said.
“I think that you’re beginning to see the feel for traders thinking you need the market,” said Cashin, who also noted that a partial exemption recently had to be granted for a company to have its initial public offering.
“I think that represents the value that humans, we humans can add, to some critical and strange moments,” he said.